NFL Week 1 of the 2026 season is complete.
The model went 10-6 on its 16 graded Week 1 picks (62.5%).
Season to date through Week 1: 10-6 (62.5%).
Best call of the week
The correct pick whose predicted scoreline landed closest to the real one. The model picked the New York Giants; predicted Dallas Cowboys 22.5 - New York Giants 24.5, final Dallas Cowboys 20 - New York Giants 28.
Worst miss of the week
The wrong pick that lost by the most. The model picked the Los Angeles Rams; the San Francisco 49ers won 27-7, a 20-point miss. It stays on the record.
All 16 Week 1 picks, graded
- New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks: picked Seattle Seahawks, predicted 21.5-23.7, final 10-13 (win).
- San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams: picked Los Angeles Rams, predicted 22.3-29.2, final 27-7 (loss).
- Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers: picked Chicago Bears, predicted 25.9-24.9, final 59-37 (win).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals: picked Cincinnati Bengals, predicted 24.6-26.0, final 27-33 (win).
- New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions: picked Detroit Lions, predicted 21.0-24.9, final 30-31 (win).
- Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans: picked Houston Texans, predicted 18.5-21.8, final 36-31 (loss).
- Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts: picked Indianapolis Colts, predicted 23.1-26.7, final 41-23 (loss).
- Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars: picked Jacksonville Jaguars, predicted 15.6-21.4, final 10-34 (win).
- Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers: picked Atlanta Falcons, predicted 22.6-22.3, final 13-20 (loss).
- New York Jets at Tennessee Titans: picked Tennessee Titans, predicted 22.6-25.6, final 23-10 (loss).
- Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers: picked Los Angeles Chargers, predicted 19.8-27.7, final 26-14 (loss).
- Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders: picked Las Vegas Raiders, predicted 19.3-24.6, final 13-27 (win).
- Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: picked Minnesota Vikings, predicted 22.3-25.1, final 22-39 (win).
- Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles: picked Philadelphia Eagles, predicted 20.0-29.2, final 22-24 (win).
- Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: picked New York Giants, predicted 22.5-24.5, final 20-28 (win).
- Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: picked Kansas City Chiefs, predicted 22.5-24.5, final 10-31 (win).
Nothing here is restated after the fact: every projection above was posted before kickoff and none of it has been removed. See the Week 1 picks board and the full season record, nothing removed.