NFL Week 3 of the 2026 season is complete.
The model went 9-7 on its 16 graded Week 3 picks (56.2%).
Season to date through Week 3: 29-19 (60.4%).
Best call of the week
The correct pick whose predicted scoreline landed closest to the real one. The model picked the Cleveland Browns; predicted Carolina Panthers 18.8 - Cleveland Browns 18.9, final Carolina Panthers 18 - Cleveland Browns 21.
Worst miss of the week
The wrong pick that lost by the most. The model picked the New England Patriots; the Jacksonville Jaguars won 35-6, a 29-point miss. It stays on the record.
All 16 Week 3 picks, graded
- Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers: picked Green Bay Packers, predicted 18.3-27.2, final 35-14 (loss).
- Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills: picked Buffalo Bills, predicted 21.4-23.1, final 16-24 (win).
- Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns: picked Cleveland Browns, predicted 18.8-18.9, final 18-21 (win).
- New York Jets at Detroit Lions: picked Detroit Lions, predicted 18.9-31.6, final 24-31 (win).
- Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: picked Houston Texans, predicted 21.5-20.8, final 17-19 (loss).
- New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars: picked New England Patriots, predicted 22.1-21.7, final 6-35 (loss).
- Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: picked Kansas City Chiefs, predicted 26.1-20.9, final 24-10 (win).
- Tennessee Titans at New York Giants: picked Tennessee Titans, predicted 19.9-18.7, final 7-12 (loss).
- Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: picked Pittsburgh Steelers, predicted 23.7-26.5, final 27-30 (win).
- Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders: picked Seattle Seahawks, predicted 28.8-21.3, final 31-33 (loss).
- Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: picked San Francisco 49ers, predicted 24.3-28.6, final 30-36 (win).
- Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: picked Minnesota Vikings, predicted 22.3-19.5, final 23-16 (win).
- Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys: picked Baltimore Ravens, predicted 27.6-27.3, final 34-31 (win).
- Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints: picked New Orleans Saints, predicted 18.5-24.6, final 35-27 (loss).
- Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos: picked Denver Broncos, predicted 22.6-23.6, final 26-30 (win).
- Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: picked Philadelphia Eagles, predicted 23.8-20.4, final 7-27 (loss).
Nothing here is restated after the fact: every projection above was posted before kickoff and none of it has been removed. See the Week 3 picks board and the full season record, nothing removed.